The recent elections in Iraq to date are a success with an excellent turnout and clean voting, to many people that will become a flag waver to state that the Blair/Howard/Bush administration’s policy to invade Iraq was the correct one, and with freedom for all and a victory for democracy.
I have stated in numerous earlier journals that the war was the wrong thing to do, a good outcome out of the election still does not justify the decision’s, why because the war was not needed to sort the problems out, if fact it caused more strife than good….in fact it gave Al-Qaeda more victories and success than they ever dreamed of…Bush more than played right into their hands, he gave them a mandate to power and road to fulfilling their ultimate desires.
The great Idea for Iran and Al-Qaeda is for a large Muslim state, a New Persia so to speak, a major force in the middle east that would have been a major power situation, the dream is for parts of Western Pakistan or all of Muslim Pakistan, Iran, Afghanistan and most importantly Iraq to be all one united state (New Persia), a vocal and powerful Muslim union, against all of the rest of us, so if this union was powerful and strong enough then the rest of the Muslim world might have joined to create a large significant population of sheer faith, and power..the idea is flawed in the fact that a huge percentage of the Muslim world don’t agree or want the severe ethics of the Iranian-Al-Qaeda-Taliban Islamic doctrine..
The flaw for Bush was not going in and stopping quickly this central core of Taliban and Al-Qaeda fundamentalists and their leaders, the same that stuck a severe blow in the lower part of New York City, but by not snuffing out this central candle, it then gave Iran a voice and a power, and the rise of Pakistani radical Muslim groups to arms, but by going into Iraq really gave the New Persians a chance and an opportunity they could only dream of, first by removing an major adversary to their ideals, Saddam Hussein. His Imposed War 1980 to 1988 where they threw babies at each other had descended into a terrible trench warfare situation, and it had cost both sides dearly, but secondly quickly opened up Iraq to sectarian warfare, Al-Qaeda were very quickly able to gather strength of the promise of a radical Muslim uprising, the ideals quickly took hold by putting the Americans into a rear guard action and creating two war fronts both weak, Al-Qaeda and friends nearly won, the line was very close, Iraq could have become New Persia, or part of it as the country could have been segregated up between the minorities, Shia, Sunnis and mainly the Shi’ite republic with Moqtada al-Sadr as leader which would aligned itself with Iran, so what went wrong..
The Petraeus plan of an “surge” of 30.000 troops was a masterpiece of saving the whole catastrophe from happening, it worked on two fronts, finally slowing down the insurgents, and stopped the mess from slipping into complete failure, its timing was almost too late, finally American armed forces did their job which was be a force to be reckoned with, it worked and it worked brilliantly, but another thing happened as well which turned Iraqis to the polls in numbers, Barack Obama was now going to succeed Bush as the next President, make no mistake, the insurgency knew quickly that Obama would be a very different opponent, why because he is not a blood and thunder type of Commander in Chief, but a wily sniper take you out type, and he will and they know that now Al-Qaeda’s days are numbered, Obama will strike and hard and more efficiently than Bush ever was, Petraeus is already there, working..finding answers, putting his ideas into action, and they know what is coming, The Taliban has already struck Kabul quickly just days ago, making noises that they are ready for the impending action, Iran has already moved the other way by making noises about opening a line of communicatioto the West, the chips are starting to fall, as when the troops leave Iraq en-mass then they will be deployed into Afghanistan and in the shear numbers to do the job that should have been done 5 years ago.
You will say that with Iraq’s quickly changing situation that this is the reason for Iran’s sudden change of heart, and I am still wrong, the path of history is now going in this direction; which will then change the situation.
but what if..Bush had done the right thing back in 2003 and had hit the Al-Qaeda army and its Taliban Brothers hard, say a conflict of two years, knocking out the core of fanatics, Iran would have been isolated straight away, Pakistan also, taking away the core forces and the rhetoric, It would have been easier for the Pakistani authorities to clean up the remainder and stop the spread of the fundamentalism embedded in the western provences, the threat to the west would have quickly eased, London may have still happened, Bali also, but Spain and smaller threats would have been dissolved, America would also have had more cooperation from Europe in troops and support in that they were doing it their way and not the American Shock and Awe route.
The big question is here is still Saddam Hussein?..well remember he was straitjacketed tight at the time, The first Gulf war had certainly had an severe impact of totally diminishing the strength and the fighting of his forces and that was shown with the second war, there was simply very little resistance to the invasion, Saddam was locked down by everyone, Turkey to the north, Syria to the west, the coalition forces to the south and the United Nations on everything else, his population was starving and his options were getting smaller by the day, If the Amer-Afgan war had been a quick success his options would have been even worse, America could have just sat on his borders and tightened the noose and waited for him to kill himself or his power dissolve down into civil war, which it did anyway.. remember Iraq was a thriving democratic country before Saddam and his Baath party took control, so only a small push would have been needed for him to capitulate to his fate, shear economic loss and his starving population would have fixed his situation, he was already running from palace to palace to stay alive, still an invasion could have been mounted if the United Nations required one, but unlike the failed one in 2004 it would have ended in Bagdad as the fundamentalism would have no basis to ignite, but the reality was Saddam was finished right after the first gulf war..it was only time till it ended one way or the other…the invasion was not needed..but help and rebuilding the nation would have been offered if the Iraqis had taken over the power of the country, for of course its greatest asset is still it’s oil, the Wests overwhelming number one need, and again the right sort of government would have evolved just like there are in these elections taking place right now and not a puppet government that is aligned with United States interests, again that is not what the Iraqi people want, The Americans say they they were giving them democracy, but it is a Untied States type of forced democracy and not an Iraqi one, in other words.. Imperialism.
The biggest difference if Bush had of quashed the fundamentalists would have been saving of the shear loss of life, In Iraq and around the world, including Pakistan and India, heightening the safety of the world’s populace including Muslims and Arabs and quickly reducing the tension between faiths,
There are still raging fires burning right now, Israel, Palestine, Africa, Kashmir all hard to fix, but it an be easier without Islamic fundamentalist’s rhetoric and violence, they as well as us have to accept we all now live in a Global Society that cannot go back to 1800’s style warlord kingdoms, yes these people have grievances and it is the global communities responsibility to help and fix their problems, by raising their living standards and provide them with basic human rights, that is the work of the United Nations, to speak and act for all of us, so these sort of ethnic and religious differences are attended to and not reduced to warfare and human suffering, we all have to be responsible towards each other’s faiths and respect our differences, most conflicts are created out of loss, suffering and pain and mostly greed of one taking advantage of a weaker situation, it is time to stop and understand that we all have basic rights..respect each other, and that includes the terrorists killing indiscriminately and governments and companies behaving responsibly or irresponsibly, its a big ask but its a start.
Barack Obama is hope for a better world, the Bush route is not acceptable and has proven it can’t work, change the basics and the rest will fix themselves, Obama knows that reducing America’s dependence on Oil can change the world, for the better, his work at home will stop America invading countries like Iraq for their resources, this sort of thinking can change things and stop conflicts, but there are other times there is a need for the hard hit, Bosnia or to stop other maniacs ruling and killing to their advantage, but with the support of the rest of the global community..
..we all have a responsibility towards our own…to do the right thing and at the right time; to give us a home so we all can have a chance to live a fair and safe life, not for our own advantage but for what is right, Some say that the invasion of Iraq was doing this, it was, but at the wrong time, and for the wrong reasons and we all suffered no more so than the Iraqis themselves, while the true monsters ran amok and created the world in their eyes, and world of hatred, pain and revenge for things that simple people leading ordinary lives in other countries with no connection to the hatred are now dead, payed for with their own lives..caught in the crossfire of a clash of beliefs and idealism, they never asked to die or be involved in something that is happening across the other side of the globe, that is the right from wrong…that is what George W Bush/Blair/Howard got seriously wrong, they saved the wrong people..